Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BCH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.003340 0.003504 0.003672 0.003856 0.004053 0.004258 0.004487
2025-05-18 0.003034 0.003276 0.003533 0.003827 0.004157 0.004514 0.004934
2025-05-25 0.002896 0.003189 0.003510 0.003888 0.004325 0.004815 0.005411
2025-06-01 0.002749 0.003075 0.003438 0.003876 0.004394 0.004992 0.005740
2025-06-08 0.002618 0.002965 0.003359 0.003844 0.004430 0.005122 0.006011
2025-06-15 0.002488 0.002848 0.003263 0.003782 0.004421 0.005190 0.006201
2025-06-22 0.002379 0.002749 0.003182 0.003731 0.004417 0.005259 0.006390
2025-06-29 0.002310 0.002694 0.003148 0.003733 0.004476 0.005406 0.006681
2025-07-06 0.002191 0.002572 0.003029 0.003622 0.004387 0.005356 0.006708
2025-07-13 0.002136 0.002528 0.003001 0.003625 0.004440 0.005491 0.006985
2025-07-20 0.002109 0.002516 0.003013 0.003676 0.004557 0.005711 0.007386
2025-07-27 0.002045 0.002455 0.002960 0.003642 0.004557 0.005773 0.007569
2025-08-03 0.001989 0.002402 0.002918 0.003619 0.004573 0.005860 0.007794
2025-08-10 0.001934 0.002351 0.002874 0.003593 0.004583 0.005938 0.008007
2025-08-17 0.001917 0.002347 0.002891 0.003650 0.004707 0.006178 0.008473
2025-08-24 0.001874 0.002307 0.002860 0.003638 0.004736 0.006283 0.008738
2025-08-31 0.001827 0.002260 0.002818 0.003609 0.004737 0.006347 0.008942
2025-09-07 0.001771 0.002201 0.002757 0.003552 0.004696 0.006345 0.009041
2025-09-14 0.001722 0.002149 0.002705 0.003505 0.004666 0.006359 0.009163
2025-09-21 0.001693 0.002123 0.002688 0.003507 0.004708 0.006481 0.009467
2025-09-28 0.001629 0.002048 0.002600 0.003405 0.004593 0.006360 0.009362
2025-10-05 0.001604 0.002026 0.002585 0.003408 0.004633 0.006478 0.009662
2025-10-12 0.001596 0.002026 0.002601 0.003455 0.004741 0.006706 0.010160